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THE SSES PROGRAM
Uncertainty

TCO Home Page MRSM Details
Smoothed TCO Observed TCO Uncertainty Background
Daily smoothed TCO Daily observed TCO Daily prior/observed/ posterior TCO Distribution of Atmospheric Ozone
Animation Animation 2002 Ozone-Hole Splitting


Uncertainty is measured by the pixelwise standard deviations (SD).

The MRSM combines information in the prior TCO model and information in the TCO data:


Pixels where data are missing are colored grey.

After the prior model and the data have been combined, a posterior model is obtained by using Bayes' Theorem.
The prior uncertainty (SD) changes to the posterior uncertainty (SD).


Observed TCO for: 2002
TCO Home Page MRSM Details
Smoothed TCO Observed TCO Uncertainty Background
Daily smoothed TCO Daily observed TCO Daily prior/observed/ posterior TCO Atmospheric Ozone Distribution
Animation Animation 2002 Ozone-Hole Splitting