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Department of Statistics, The Ohio State University
Statistics and Biostatistics Colloquium Series
Can probability be interpreted as a measure of evidence?
Philosophical considerations and practical implications for human
genetics research.
Veronica J. Vieland
Dwight E. Peters and Juanita R. Curran Professor of Pediatric Research
Director, Center for Quantitative and Computational Biology
Columbus Children's Research Institute and The Ohio State University
3:30PM - Thursday, January 25, 2007
Room 170, Eighteenth Avenue Bldg. (EA 170)
ABSTRACT
In applied statistics, p-values are commonly interpreted as indicating the
strength of the evidence against the null hypothesis, despite several cogent
and well-established arguments against this practice. The persistent use of
p-values in this context underscores both the acute need for measures of
statistical evidence in many areas of application, as well as the perceived
absence of a viable alternative to the p-value for this purpose. In this
talk, I'll begin by considering fundamental properties of evidence measures,
drawing heavily on analogy with the measurement of temperature. Next, I'll
describe an approach to measurement of evidence based on posterior
probability, and illustrate some practical implications of choosing a
measure of evidence in connection with gene-mapping in human genetics.
Finally, I'll indicate related, ongoing research in the newly-established
Center for Quantitative and Computational Biology at Children's Research
Institute, in the hope of sparking interest in new collaborations.
Meet the speaker in Room 212 Cockins Hall at 4:30
p.m. Refreshments will be served.
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