Date Topic Lecture Notes Lecture Code/Data Reading/Homework
Th 1/4 Bayesian Statistics: Overview 2 slides
6 slides
None None
T 1/9 Summarizing Inferences by Simulation;
Single-Parameter Models (Binomial)
2 slides
6 slides
placenta.r 1.1-1.10
Th 1/11 Single-Parameter Models (Normal, Poisson, Exponential, Negative Binomial);
Conjugate Distributions
2 slides
6 slides
None 2.1-2.7
T 1/16 Noninformative/Improper Prior Distributions;
Shrinkage
2 slides
6 slides
temperature.r
temperature.dat
2.8-2.9
HW1 Due
Th 1/18 Multiparameter Models (Normal);
Averaging over Nuissance Parameters
2 slides
6 slides
None 3.1-3.4
T 1/23 Multiparameters Models (Multinomial, Multivariate Normal) 2 slides
6 slides
election-polling.r 3.5-3.7
Th 1/25 Hierarchical Modeling 2 slides
6 slides
None 5.1-5.2
HW2 Due
T 1/30 Hierarchical Modeling: More Examples 2 slides
6 slides
schools.r
schools.dat
10.1-10.3
Th 2/1 Markov Chain Monte Carlo 2 slides
6 slides
None 11.1-11.3
T 2/6 M-H Algorithm 2 slides
6 slides
mh-demo.r
mh-demo-plots.r
allergy.r
11.4-11.7
Th 2/8 Midterm Review 2 slides
6 slides
midterm_review.pdf
None HW3 Due
T 2/13 Midterm None None None
Th 2/15 Project Introduction; Introduction to WinBUGS 2 slides
6 slides
BUGS-Dye-Yields.zip 14.1-14.8
T 2/16 Bayesian Regression 2 slides
6 slides
air.r
air.dat
15.1-15.4
Th 2/22 Hierarchical Linear Models 2 slides
6 slides
BUGS-Schools1.zip Project Proposals Due
T 2/27 Hierarchical Linear Models
Generalized Linear Models
2 slides
6 slides
BUGS-Schools2.zip
BUGS-seeds.zip
16.1-16.4
Th 3/1 Generalized Linear Models 2 slides
6 slides
BUGS-Salm.zip 16.5-16.6
T 3/6 Missing Data 2 slides
6 slides
None 21.1-21.2
Th 3/8 Model Checking/Comparison; Model Selection 2 slides
6 slides
None 6.1-6.8
HW4 Due
T 3/13
Project Reports Due by 5pm